Game Result Predictions
Tuesday, March 19
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Conway, AR | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Oral Roberts (29-26, Road 9-11) |
3 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✔ | 2 | +3.0 | 32% | ✔ | |
|
Central Arkansas (32-27, Home 18-11) |
9 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 12 (3) |
5 | -3.0 | 68% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Houston, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
UTSA (28-30, Road 10-12) |
14 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 13 | ✔ | 7 | -2.5 | 65% | ✔ | |
|
Houston Baptist (18-35, Home 14-13) |
6 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 20 (7) |
4 | +2.5 | 35% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| San Antonio, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Texas State (36-20, Road 14-8) |
1 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✔ | 5 | +0.5 | 53% | ✔ | |
|
Incarnate Word (37-22, Home 21-10) |
6 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 7 (-5) |
6 | -0.5 | 47% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Beaumont, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Southern (32-24, Road 9-15) |
5 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 13 | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 48% | ✔ | |
|
Lamar (18-36, Home 12-15) |
6 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 11 (-2) |
6 | -0.5 | 52% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Lafayette, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Northwestern State (29-25, Road 9-15) |
3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 4 | +1.5 | 39% | ✔ | |
|
Louisiana (28-31, Home 16-15) |
8 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 11 (0) |
5 | -1.5 | 61% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Lake Charles, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Houston (32-24, Road 12-8) |
0 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | 9 | ✔ | 3 | +0.5 | 52% | ✔ | |
|
McNeese State (35-26, Home 17-11) |
1 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 1 (-8) |
4 | -0.5 | 48% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| New Orleans, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
South Alabama (30-26, Road 10-15) |
5 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✔ | 6 | -1.0 | 56% | ✘ | |
|
New Orleans (29-27, Home 20-11) |
7 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 12 (-1) |
5 | +1.0 | 44% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Prairie View, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Stephen F. Austin (25-33, Road 10-16) |
8 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 12 | ✔ | 8 | -5.0 | 77% | ✔ | |
|
Prairie View A&M (12-33, Home 6-12) |
5 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | Actual: 13 (1) |
3 | +5.0 | 23% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Huntsville, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Baylor (35-19, Road 7-8) |
7 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 13 | ✘ | 7 | -2.0 | 63% | ✘ | |
|
Sam Houston State (31-25, Home 18-8) |
8 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 15 (2) |
5 | +2.0 | 37% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Corpus Christi, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
UTRGV (34-21, Road 9-13) |
6 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 11 | ✔ | 5 | -0.5 | 53% | ✔ | |
|
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (29-26, Home 21-11) |
2 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | Actual: 8 (-3) |
4 | +0.5 | 47% | |||